dz1ft
0xfd5c9bbfd0ac1823e629add0dcd4981b86336d2a
- Realised P&L
- $36.6k
- Volume
- $2.80M
- Markets traded
- 2,203
- Open portfolio
- $140.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,203
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.019Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$3.2kat 0.020Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.031Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.038Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.159Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:54 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $304.77 |
| 08-04 21:49 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7303525427 | $284.65 |
| 08-04 13:37 | Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.38 |
| 08-04 12:49 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.2508154122 | $11.20 |
| 08-04 12:49 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $21.53 |
| 08-04 12:30 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $449.19 |
| 08-04 12:30 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7038861386 | $56.87 |
| 08-04 11:06 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 08-04 10:31 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3842718447 | $23.75 |
| 08-04 09:06 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 08-04 09:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.643 | $11.88 |
| 08-04 09:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.6511505344 | $129.77 |
| 08-04 09:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.652939993 | $149.94 |
| 08-04 09:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.652 | $51.51 |
| 08-03 23:36 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.927 | $8.34 |