dhavlos
0xfce1c521ceba677345bdb77f1ab5ac6f8284c9bf
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $1.09M
- Markets traded
- 2,512
- Open portfolio
- $18.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,512
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? · No | 0.039 | 0.030 | $15.64 | −$4.36 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? · No | 0.012 | 0.006 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Up | 0.235 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.95 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 2? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 2? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.013Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?
- +$724.03at 0.020Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3?
- +$659.14at 0.040Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 3?
- +$648.33at 0.085Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 3?
- +$573.59at 0.125Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2349295543 | $6.95 |
| 08-02 16:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 16:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 16:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 16:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999881 | $12.00 |
| 08-02 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4567902716 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 16:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.0167341906 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 16:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.0098794314 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 16:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0120096373 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 16:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0389999982 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 18:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999895 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 18:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0642119248 | $5.00 |