RoyMustang
0xfcd2b2e37b34d4ff724ce7ae50c62c1a77117543
- Realised P&L
- $92.57
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 476
- Open portfolio
- $2.40
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded476
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.10at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 19?
- +$4.74at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?
- +$4.49at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 14?
- +$4.32at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 9?
- +$3.11at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.16 |
| 08-03 23:14 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 08-03 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 08-02 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 08-01 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.59 |
| 07-31 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.21 |
| 07-31 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.78 |
| 07-30 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.22 |
| 07-30 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 07-27 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 27? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.42 |
| 07-26 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 07-25 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 27? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.41 |
| 07-25 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.24 |