0xFcbE0EeF1b0BD71D016CF1358AA6aE283F366003-1778087568146
0xfcbe0eef1b0bd71d016cf1358aa6ae283f366003
- Realised P&L
- $-44.36
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $0.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET · Down | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Up | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Down | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET · Down | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Down | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
- +$10.63at 0.320Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
- +$9.23at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
- +$7.20at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
- +$3.47at 0.760Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 04:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999702 | $3.00 |
| 05-07 04:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 03:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4250712882 | $20.00 |
| 05-07 03:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 03:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 03:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 03:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 03:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 03:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 03:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 03:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 03:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 03:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 03:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 03:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $11.00 |