UmbiloHustle
0xfcb4d3e36af44dd3e6dab917647407dfb1dd0464
- Realised P&L
- $933.68
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $22.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar22.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$979.98at 0.020Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?
- +$44.21at 0.746Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$18.35at 0.246Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
- +$18.22at 0.180Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
- +$7.20at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 04:18 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $9.83 |
| 08-02 04:17 | Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by August 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $9.33 |
| 08-01 09:07 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | SELL | 0.9671932367 | $50.05 |
| 07-31 19:16 | Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $110.00 |
| 07-31 19:13 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 19:11 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 19:09 | Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by August 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 19:05 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.9659999997 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 19:47 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.7058049926 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 06:34 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July? | SELL | 0.921 | $20.56 |
| 07-28 18:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999827 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 18:36 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July? | BUY | 0.8959999735 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 18:23 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | SELL | 0.1392680723 | $13.87 |
| 07-28 11:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.75 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 18:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7339999978 | $30.00 |