PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

UmbiloHustle

0xfcb4d3e36af44dd3e6dab917647407dfb1dd0464

Realised P&L
$933.68
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$22.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar22.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? · Yes0.0450.031$14.35$6.74
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? · Yes0.4300.340$7.91$2.09
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$2.00
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt? · No0.9300.000$0.00$1.00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$29.27
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$25.00
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$2.00
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$2.00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$28.92
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.1800.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 04:18Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?SELL0.58$9.83
08-02 04:17Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by August 31?SELL0.85$9.33
08-01 09:07Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?SELL0.9671932367$50.05
07-31 19:16Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?BUY0.999$110.00
07-31 19:13Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
07-31 19:11Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
07-31 19:09Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by August 31?BUY0.91$10.00
07-31 19:05Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.9659999997$50.00
07-29 19:47Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 27 2026?BUY0.7058049926$10.00
07-29 06:34Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?SELL0.921$20.56
07-28 18:38Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of July 27 2026?BUY0.9099999827$10.00
07-28 18:36Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?BUY0.8959999735$20.00
07-28 18:23Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?SELL0.1392680723$13.87
07-28 11:37Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.75$100.00
07-27 18:50Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7339999978$30.00