PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xfc94ab8940bbe47d0e1949762ec6d01aedd54304

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$18.0k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$824.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration97.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? · Yes0.3010.355$824.36+$124.36
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$301.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 12:29Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.3799999964$50.00
07-31 12:28Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.3799999964$50.00
07-30 14:22Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
07-30 14:09Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.3332462006$15.00
07-30 09:34Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.2999999976$75.01
07-29 16:00Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.2936842089$93.00
07-29 14:44Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.289999971$7.00
07-28 14:13Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.2977021256$123.00
07-28 13:21Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.279999998$93.00
07-26 07:15Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.2990229733$92.00
07-26 00:06Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.2699999984$92.00
07-19 21:46Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0869999985$50.00
07-19 21:44Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.068$1.94
07-19 21:18Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3009999973$50.00
07-19 14:32Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4089999974$60.00