lejcles
0xfc4c47f37df58a2dbccd952e3dbc8fbab0f4392f
- Realised P&L
- $31.0k
- Volume
- $1.47M
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $12.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.3kat 0.339Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$6.2kat 0.922Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
- +$3.5kat 0.613Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$3.0kat 0.934Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?
- +$2.2kat 0.698Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 16:47 | Will Paradex launch a token by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9882594281 | $388.10 |
| 03-04 16:46 | Will Paradex launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $106.04 |
| 03-04 16:46 | Will Paradex launch a token by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.992756554 | $332.11 |
| 03-04 16:46 | Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9924560738 | $329.42 |
| 03-04 16:46 | Will Paradex launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9925019767 | $2.6k |
| 03-04 16:45 | Will Paradex launch a token by June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9916640651 | $2.0k |
| 03-04 16:45 | Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026? | SELL | 0.9910919375 | $3.8k |
| 02-26 15:27 | Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6769319429 | $160.34 |
| 01-19 21:09 | Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9956800133 | $720.00 |
| 01-19 21:09 | Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9872 | $1.2k |
| 01-19 21:09 | Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9860930316 | $1.2k |
| 01-19 21:08 | Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9708689188 | $2.7k |
| 01-19 21:08 | Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9833659354 | $4.2k |
| 01-19 21:08 | Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9824645582 | $2.6k |
| 01-18 18:41 | Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9670993919 | $1.5k |