Tatsumakii
0xfc4075112dfa9f39b6d5f256ed3ccbcd3f0ec5bb
- Realised P&L
- $-746.38
- Volume
- $54.1k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $279.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$340.85at 0.746Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$250.00at 0.885Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$222.55at 0.830Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?
- +$212.13at 0.838Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$173.82at 0.838Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0663308523 | $12.65 |
| 08-04 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2197461929 | $43.29 |
| 08-04 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.37 | $74.00 |
| 08-04 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0051828235 | $0.88 |
| 08-04 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0150235144 | $1.30 |
| 08-04 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0970511111 | $8.73 |
| 08-04 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.36967 | $36.97 |
| 08-04 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1553333333 | $2.33 |
| 08-04 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.28 |
| 08-04 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.08 |
| 08-04 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.40 |
| 08-04 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.451 | $22.55 |
| 08-04 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.82 |
| 08-04 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |