0xfbdE188eA97163fC5D20915400258801A0f12150-1730834351457
0xfbde188ea97163fc5d20915400258801a0f12150
- Realised P&L
- $605.96
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $237.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$377.35at 0.189Will Trump win 7 swing states?
- +$143.68at 0.238Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep?
- +$114.26at 0.280Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
- +$79.96at 0.708Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
- +$71.20at 0.250Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-12 21:05 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $60.00 |
| 01-12 21:04 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999714 | $20.00 |
| 01-12 21:03 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 01-12 21:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 01-12 21:02 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0629999944 | $10.00 |
| 01-12 21:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.5699999939 | $30.00 |
| 01-12 20:59 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 01-12 20:58 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 01-12 20:58 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.8199999902 | $10.00 |
| 01-12 20:57 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 01-12 20:56 | US congress stock trading ban before 2027? | BUY | 0.2225806405 | $30.00 |
| 11-16 04:58 | Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 11-16 04:57 | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 11-07 18:45 | Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points? | SELL | 0.95 | $40.35 |
| 11-07 00:17 | Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? | SELL | 0.8884101382 | $69.40 |