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Traders

MakingTheMarket

0xfbad359b4e00f3d6909a706b7c23d9c694729e4b

Realised P&L
$-6.4k
Volume
$970.8k
Markets traded
261
Open portfolio
$71.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded261
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? · No0.6700.775$38.81+$5.26
Graham Platner divorce by October 31? · No0.7300.895$17.90+$3.30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2130.265$13.25+$2.58
Will Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? · Yes0.1300.089$1.79$0.81
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$28.17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1930.000$0.00$166.94
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$6.80
Will BTS perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? · No0.0380.000$0.00$0.76
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00$110.72
Spread: Pacers (-3.5) · Nets0.4900.000$0.00$0.50
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00$147.00
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May? · No0.2550.000$0.00$10.25
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5 · Under0.4700.000$0.00$0.90
Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.8900.000$0.00$27.20
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.7030.000$0.00$45.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 05:47Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?SELL0.791$0.29
07-11 01:28Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?SELL0.18$6.30
07-07 03:06Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?SELL0.13$6.50
06-25 23:22Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?SELL0.9$6.09
06-23 20:09Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.147$147.00
06-23 20:01Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.017$14.71
06-23 20:01Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.048$41.52
06-23 20:01Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.055$47.58
06-23 20:01Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.128$110.72
06-23 20:00Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.139$120.24
06-23 20:00Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.193$166.94
06-22 15:21Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?SELL0.965$0.43
06-22 15:21Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?SELL0.005$0.50
06-21 01:04 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.033$0.01
06-21 01:01Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.825$0.20
Trader MakingTheMarket · PolyBot