MakingTheMarket
0xfbad359b4e00f3d6909a706b7c23d9c694729e4b
- Realised P&L
- $-6.4k
- Volume
- $970.8k
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $71.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$744.76at 0.139Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$430.25at 0.200US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
- +$154.00at 0.790US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$97.29at 0.250Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$50.00at 0.470Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 05:47 | Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01? | SELL | 0.791 | $0.29 |
| 07-11 01:28 | Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01? | SELL | 0.18 | $6.30 |
| 07-07 03:06 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 06-25 23:22 | Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? | SELL | 0.9 | $6.09 |
| 06-23 20:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.147 | $147.00 |
| 06-23 20:01 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.017 | $14.71 |
| 06-23 20:01 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.048 | $41.52 |
| 06-23 20:01 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.055 | $47.58 |
| 06-23 20:01 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.128 | $110.72 |
| 06-23 20:00 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.139 | $120.24 |
| 06-23 20:00 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.193 | $166.94 |
| 06-22 15:21 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? | SELL | 0.965 | $0.43 |
| 06-22 15:21 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 06-21 01:04 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.01 |
| 06-21 01:01 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.825 | $0.20 |