xwiz
0xfb74f67ccfa40255460476fb40c8962dca9450d8
- Realised P&L
- $-165.49
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $8.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.018 | $8.25 | −$36.74 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.303 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.00 |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.415 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$137.22 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? · Yes | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$146.87 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$174.22at 0.630Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?
- +$134.65at 0.478Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
- +$124.10at 0.394Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$79.37at 0.790Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?
- +$74.75at 0.480Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 18:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4149999987 | $137.22 |
| 07-11 20:40 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.217499999 | $150.00 |
| 06-20 19:28 | Spread: Germany (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4199999972 | $69.00 |
| 06-16 19:46 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.5 | $69.00 |
| 06-15 21:19 | Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.1899999943 | $24.00 |
| 06-15 21:18 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.6699999972 | $50.00 |
| 06-14 16:42 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.4699999982 | $50.00 |
| 06-14 16:40 | Kai Havertz: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.5799999965 | $56.00 |
| 06-06 21:52 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? | SELL | 0.999 | $379.36 |
| 06-06 18:46 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? | BUY | 0.7899999977 | $300.00 |
| 05-30 17:37 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.2599999982 | $88.00 |
| 05-30 15:55 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.3799999972 | $71.00 |
| 05-23 18:27 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? | BUY | 0.6299999996 | $296.65 |
| 05-06 19:59 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | BUY | 0.2999999921 | $22.87 |
| 05-06 17:04 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | BUY | 0.6099999997 | $124.00 |