ladas
0xfb5d0346e3b555d52160471e5a341adc6ac6bc41
- Realised P&L
- $141.05
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $52.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.992 | $35.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.985 | 0.977 | $15.93 | −$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.21 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.92at 0.520Senators vs. Blue Jackets
- +$0.29at 0.960Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in February?
- +$0.15at 0.975Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
- +$0.13at 0.920Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
- +$0.05at 0.990Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:46 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.21 |
| 08-02 21:45 | Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9847981252 | $16.06 |
| 07-10 07:18 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9819999941 | $1.67 |
| 07-10 07:18 | Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.61 |
| 07-10 07:18 | Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.69 |
| 07-10 07:18 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.984 | $1.67 |
| 07-10 07:18 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.69 |
| 07-10 07:17 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.61 |
| 07-10 07:17 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.67 |
| 07-10 07:17 | Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.68 |
| 07-10 07:17 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.60 |
| 07-10 07:17 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.54 |
| 07-07 07:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.40 |
| 07-07 07:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on July 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.30 |
| 07-07 07:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on July 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.12 |