PolyBot

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Traders

ladas

0xfb5d0346e3b555d52160471e5a341adc6ac6bc41

Realised P&L
$141.05
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$52.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9830.992$35.30+$0.30
Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9850.977$15.93$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 4? · No0.9991.000$1.21+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:46Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 4?BUY0.999$1.21
08-02 21:45Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9847981252$16.06
07-10 07:18Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.9819999941$1.67
07-10 07:18Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$1.61
07-10 07:18Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$1.69
07-10 07:18Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.984$1.67
07-10 07:18Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$1.69
07-10 07:17Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.998$1.61
07-10 07:17Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$1.67
07-10 07:17Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$1.68
07-10 07:17Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$1.60
07-10 07:17Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$1.54
07-07 07:58Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 7?BUY0.998$1.40
07-07 07:58Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on July 7?BUY0.999$1.30
07-07 07:58Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on July 7?BUY0.999$1.12