PolyBot

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Traders

0xfb23b746ffc35b7ccdca5f932f8d3a528674cf12

Realised P&L
$-900.82
Volume
$18.8k
Markets traded
147
Open portfolio
$51.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded147
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · No0.6031.000$51.04+$20.24
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0610.070$0.35+$0.04
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0800.059$0.30$0.10
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? · No0.2600.000$0.00$1.30
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · No0.8320.000$0.00$8.82
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? · No0.2370.000$0.00$2.35
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$0.15
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00$5.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-07 13:17Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.097$0.00
03-07 13:04Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.096$0.00
03-04 21:19Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.415$0.05
03-04 21:17Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.424$0.02
03-04 18:41Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.084$0.00
03-04 18:37Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.511$0.05
03-04 18:37Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.522$0.06
03-02 08:05Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.18$0.09
03-02 04:28Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11PM ETBUY0.2599998393$1.10
03-02 04:28Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11PM ETBUY0.2599998393$1.10
03-02 04:28Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11PM ETBUY0.359999856$1.10
03-02 04:28Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11PM ETBUY0.35$2.52
03-02 03:57Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL0.19$0.10
03-02 03:55Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL0.19$0.02
03-02 03:40Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL0.19$0.10
Trader 0xfb23…cf12 · PolyBot