everybodyknowshi
0xfadcce8959278701072a973ff9b6d59b36c5698b
- Realised P&L
- $17.71
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $197.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.984 | 0.984 | $51.14 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.948 | $49.26 | −$1.48 |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · No | 0.986 | 0.982 | $49.08 | −$0.22 |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? · No | 0.978 | 0.959 | $47.92 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.02at 0.943Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
- +$2.60at 0.949Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 7?
- +$2.02at 0.964Iran leadership change by July 31?
- +$1.89at 0.940Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$1.58at 0.957Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 09:05 | Will Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | BUY | 0.9869999557 | $21.65 |