0xfaa697e25b1edadff50f2ea4077cde73a9468af2
- Realised P&L
- $-5.90
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $0.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on August 5? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.35 | −$3.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.27at 0.710Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$0.09at 0.248Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
- +$-0.06at 0.860Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
- +$-0.08at 0.988Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- +$-0.09at 0.630Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.0088531415 | $1.88 |
| 08-04 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.0036677798 | $1.88 |
| 08-04 15:54 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.63 | $9.75 |
| 08-04 15:54 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.90 |
| 08-04 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $1.26 |
| 08-04 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:22 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.6 | $1.85 |
| 08-04 11:22 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.6299998998 | $1.95 |
| 08-04 11:20 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs | SELL | 0.85 | $4.84 |
| 08-04 11:20 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.86 | $4.91 |
| 08-04 11:17 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.79 |
| 08-04 11:16 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.90 |
| 08-04 11:16 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.922 | $11.84 |
| 08-04 11:15 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9249999338 | $11.88 |