TeenageFBI
0xfa831cb094a7f959c029cac81bada98b825ab49c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $137.8k
- Markets traded
- 3,671
- Open portfolio
- $9.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,671
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.043 | $9.12 | −$5.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.00at 0.360Will Trump say "Million" "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?
- +$18.07at 0.397Brewers vs. Mets
- +$17.00at 0.150Will Bernie Sanders say "Billionaire" 7+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?
- +$11.85at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$9.66at 0.490Will Trump say "Sydney" or "Taylor" during his Executive Order signing on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-21 22:42 | Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0676961763 | $14.53 |
| 03-19 02:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.30 |
| 03-19 02:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $3.56 |
| 03-19 02:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | SELL | 0.57 | $2.80 |
| 03-19 02:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.47 |
| 03-19 02:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 03-19 01:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.33 |
| 03-19 01:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $2.21 |
| 03-19 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.42 |
| 03-19 01:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $3.39 |
| 03-19 01:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.47 |
| 03-19 01:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $2.02 |
| 03-19 01:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.52 |
| 03-19 01:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $2.46 |
| 03-19 01:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.42 |