0xFA3a4dd78c9De565Db5782AC4A269868d4e4B352-1772879443941
0xfa3a4dd78c9de565db5782ac4a269868d4e4b352
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $44.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $57.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.003 | $46.14 | −$511.82 |
| Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.003 | $11.52 | −$138.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.07at 0.335Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$9.03at 0.052Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-47.70at 0.264Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- +$-312.65at 0.044Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-18 11:15 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0342303522 | $87.00 |
| 04-18 11:14 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0534306426 | $50.00 |
| 04-18 11:14 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0302455663 | $150.00 |
| 04-18 11:14 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.027230286 | $100.00 |
| 04-18 11:07 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0294642844 | $22.00 |
| 04-18 11:06 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.015 | $21.41 |
| 04-18 11:06 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.029958624 | $181.00 |
| 04-18 11:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.4047240439 | $181.07 |
| 04-18 11:05 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0293301637 | $59.00 |
| 04-18 11:05 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0612878975 | $59.03 |
| 04-18 11:05 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0273930753 | $59.00 |
| 04-18 11:04 | Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | SELL | 0.1382638467 | $52.30 |
| 04-18 11:04 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $7.33 |
| 03-07 11:17 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0439999979 | $20.00 |
| 03-07 11:13 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0937946185 | $50.00 |