PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tkpk

0xf9937c57170f50538b73a6713c6f2c495552acad

Realised P&L
$1.73
Volume
$11.1k
Markets traded
263
Open portfolio
$64.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded263
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9780.975$19.87$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat? · No0.9500.955$8.13+$0.04
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · No0.9760.968$8.11$0.07
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9200.915$7.77$0.04
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9660.965$7.06$0.01
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9400.925$6.82$0.11
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No0.9650.961$6.50$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 14:25Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.976$8.55
07-28 05:36Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.964$6.16
07-20 02:51Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.979$11.07
07-19 12:34Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.977$9.09
07-19 04:56Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.979$7.18
07-18 12:54Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.978$10.79
07-17 10:38Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.978$6.49
07-15 11:15Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.978$7.20
07-15 03:47Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.978$10.29
07-13 01:03Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.976$8.18
07-11 23:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.94$10.90
07-06 12:33Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.96$11.50
07-05 23:18Will G2 Esports win MSI 2026?SELL0.98$7.17
07-02 00:54Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.969$8.92
06-30 01:18Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.979$6.69