0xf89e83557b29d7a782f03749903ea6ade86f3017
- Realised P&L
- $4.72
- Volume
- $715.00
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $93.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.23at 0.103Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.33at 0.580Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
- +$0.11at 0.525Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$0.08at 0.620Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$0.04at 0.073Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 19:16 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.963 | $7.70 |
| 06-26 15:58 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.24 |
| 06-22 10:38 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.82 |
| 06-20 14:35 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.10 |
| 06-13 04:56 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.71 |
| 06-09 12:02 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $4.32 |
| 06-07 09:27 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 06-05 02:58 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.54 |
| 06-01 16:54 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.507 | $3.04 |
| 06-01 16:54 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.10 |
| 06-01 16:53 | Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | BUY | 0.944 | $8.50 |
| 06-01 16:53 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.942 | $4.71 |
| 06-01 16:53 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.908 | $5.45 |
| 06-01 16:53 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.925 | $5.55 |
| 05-25 21:31 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.06 |