PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf89e83557b29d7a782f03749903ea6ade86f3017

Realised P&L
$4.72
Volume
$715.00
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$93.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration85.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.5000.925$20.35+$9.35
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8010.875$13.13+$1.11
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.880$11.44+$4.94
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · No0.9440.975$8.77+$0.27
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9630.966$7.72+$0.02
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1690.165$6.60$0.17
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9250.955$5.73+$0.18
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · No0.8500.915$5.49+$0.39
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7200.835$5.01+$0.69
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.5070.696$4.18+$1.13
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1390.125$3.50$0.40
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.3300.170$0.85$0.80
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.5000.075$0.82$4.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 19:16Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.963$7.70
06-26 15:58Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.18$3.24
06-22 10:38Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.14$1.82
06-20 14:35Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.1$1.10
06-13 04:56Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.19$1.71
06-09 12:02Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.72$4.32
06-07 09:27Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.33$1.65
06-05 02:58Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.14$1.54
06-01 16:54Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.507$3.04
06-01 16:54US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.85$5.10
06-01 16:53Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.944$8.50
06-01 16:53Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.942$4.71
06-01 16:53Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.908$5.45
06-01 16:53Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.925$5.55
05-25 21:31Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.34$3.06