PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

flowmarketax

0xf85d1e4d411bdbda719b0020b1732b491a185331

Realised P&L
$15.82
Volume
$1.42M
Markets traded
644
Open portfolio
$156.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded644
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0030.001$50.00$250.00
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0030.001$50.00$250.00
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0030.001$31.57$157.83
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.003$20.83$29.16
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0060.002$3.57$10.71
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on March 17? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.73
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 22? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$0.98
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Up0.8400.000$0.00$21.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 24? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$9.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 24? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$0.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET · Down0.6800.000$0.00$3.40
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET · Up0.1470.000$0.00$2.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-01 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.21$1.86
04-01 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.22$1.95
04-01 09:16Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.47$4.34
04-01 09:10Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.47$4.34
04-01 09:10Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.47$4.34
04-01 09:09Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.49$4.54
04-01 09:07Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.41$3.75
04-01 09:01Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.51$4.74
04-01 09:01Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.51$4.74
04-01 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.4$3.65
04-01 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.4$3.65
04-01 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.6$5.65
04-01 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.39$3.56
04-01 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.39$3.56
04-01 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.38$3.46