0xF828831503Ef78Ff6659cA268BE4ac330eb7B35c-1780930362504
0xf828831503ef78ff6659ca268be4ac330eb7b35c
- Realised P&L
- $-17.14
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $2.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.68at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1?
- +$5.64at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3?
- +$3.62at 0.430Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?
- +$2.57at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?
- +$0.61at 0.600Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.58 |
| 08-04 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.13 |
| 08-04 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.61 |
| 08-04 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 08-04 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.76 |
| 08-04 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0749999325 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.48 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.52 |