PolyBot

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Traders

Shahiz

0xf824b4777b457eb19908bfd2a755768b3f410fda

Realised P&L
$-5.7k
Volume
$405.4k
Markets traded
2,131
Open portfolio
$1.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,131
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5200.500$0.96$0.04
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0220.013$0.61$0.39
USDE depeg by December 31? · Yes0.2000.055$0.28$0.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up0.4470.000$0.00$5.76
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00$3.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Up0.1960.000$0.00$32.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00$1.87
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$0.95
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore · Royal Challengers Bangalore0.4100.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Up0.8320.000$0.00$99.51
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 23? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET · Up0.6490.000$0.00$97.47
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals · Rajasthan Royals0.2020.000$0.00$8.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00$0.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00$9.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-23 22:18Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.6799999973$60.00
06-23 18:46Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5SELL0.14$4.12
06-23 17:50Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5BUY0.3399999857$10.00
06-19 18:38United States vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?BUY0.08$2.00
06-19 18:37Will United States win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.599999994$20.00
06-18 21:01Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
06-18 20:27Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY0.5$5.00
06-18 20:26Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?BUY0.0899999736$3.00
06-18 20:25Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?BUY0.08$2.00
06-18 20:23Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?BUY0.1$3.61
06-18 20:22Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
06-18 20:22Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?BUY0.3699999674$5.00
06-15 15:37Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?SELL0.69$17.25
06-15 15:35Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?SELL0.7$7.00
06-15 14:26Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?SELL0.72$25.20