h3llbusiness
0xf7ebd0841b4e9d40d269fc4d09dc8a10bb42275c
- Realised P&L
- $-29.21
- Volume
- $950.66
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $50.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? · No | 0.467 | 0.420 | $50.81 | −$5.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.33at 0.303Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $9B?
- +$0.60at 0.590Will JD Gaming Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?
- +$0.20at 0.490Will Karmine Corp Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?
- +$-0.34at 0.400Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of July 13 2026?
- +$-0.45at 0.540Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 08-04 20:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 08-04 20:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 08-04 20:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 08-04 20:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.45 | $13.50 |
| 08-04 20:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 08-04 20:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 08-04 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.4901570023 | $23.41 |
| 08-04 09:49 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.49 | $5.34 |
| 08-03 13:30 | Will China's CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $17.60 |
| 07-18 23:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.56 |
| 07-18 16:53 | Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $9B? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 07-18 16:53 | Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $9B? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 07-18 16:52 | Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $9B? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 07-18 16:50 | Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $9B? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |