0xf7b04B9F750ECBebF869398e23d0F02507Dd3011-1780924818403
0xf7b04b9f750ecbebf869398e23d0f02507dd3011
- Realised P&L
- $-226.73
- Volume
- $46.5k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $45.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.011 | $43.84 | +$33.19 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.016 | $1.60 | +$0.60 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July? · No | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.72 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? · No | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.54 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.53 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24? · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$271.50at 0.500NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 7?
- +$102.25at 0.180Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs FaZe Clan (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage
- +$84.90at 0.150Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Playoffs
- +$75.60at 0.354WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 15?
- +$75.53at 0.294SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 09:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24? | BUY | 0.0987179487 | $3.85 |
| 07-24 09:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July? | SELL | 0.0243495281 | $4.18 |
| 07-24 07:43 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 07-24 05:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.26 | $34.14 |
| 07-23 12:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.035 | $0.18 |
| 07-23 12:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.23 |
| 07-23 08:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.119 | $28.91 |
| 07-23 08:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.238 | $31.25 |
| 07-22 05:06 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.36 |
| 07-21 14:30 | Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.16 |
| 07-21 14:13 | Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $12.80 |
| 07-21 14:11 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.88 |
| 07-21 14:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.085 | $22.32 |
| 07-21 12:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | SELL | 0.022 | $29.16 |
| 07-21 02:56 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.27 |