Liotta
0xf7352227cdae36ee84cddaec5f5472f723786157
- Realised P&L
- $9.2k
- Volume
- $851.7k
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $9.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? · Yes | 0.996 | 1.000 | $7.8k | +$26.64 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? · Yes | 0.982 | 0.986 | $1.7k | +$6.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.3kat 0.318Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
- +$2.3kat 0.800Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$1.7kat 0.860MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?
- +$1.6kat 0.999Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$1.4kat 0.578Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.9964898414 | $4.2k |
| 08-02 18:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.994 | $49.70 |
| 08-02 11:50 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.41 | $82.00 |
| 08-01 20:19 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.5158823529 | $8.77 |
| 08-01 18:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | SELL | 0.99 | $669.24 |
| 08-01 18:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9883698225 | $668.14 |
| 07-26 14:21 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? | BUY | 0.983 | $1.7k |
| 07-19 21:15 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 07-19 20:55 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.485 | $4.85 |
| 07-18 22:52 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.3k |
| 07-14 20:56 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.9975 | $932.88 |
| 07-07 17:43 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.981 | $98.10 |
| 07-07 17:39 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.568 | $56.80 |
| 06-26 13:19 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? | SELL | 0.972 | $184.68 |
| 06-25 13:24 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? | BUY | 0.929 | $650.30 |