nomer0845
0xf6cd8f756f120cd8ba61fcbd6103b4ca30ce1cd3
- Realised P&L
- $-768.26
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $44.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-25.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.955 | 0.962 | $39.44 | +$0.29 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.948 | 0.948 | $4.93 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.54at 0.930Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$2.16at 0.914Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
- +$1.90at 0.940Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
- +$1.67at 0.870Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
- +$1.11at 0.973Will Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 08:48 | Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.98 | $40.08 |
| 05-07 11:42 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | SELL | 0.91 | $38.00 |