0xf6b7Ff362dD4a3B92D4774526A021cb442b67518-1780238199038
0xf6b7ff362dd4a3b92d4774526a021cb442b67518
- Realised P&L
- $49.10
- Volume
- $82.9k
- Markets traded
- 421
- Open portfolio
- $39.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded421
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.030 | $15.00 | +$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.008 | $8.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.025 | $5.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.015 | $4.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.015 | $3.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $2.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.025 | $1.70 | +$0.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.006 | $0.64 | +$0.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.005 | $0.10 | +$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.60at 0.081LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- +$48.64at 0.098LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
- +$43.72at 0.009Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?
- +$40.00at 0.150Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$35.50at 0.150LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 08-04 17:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 17:34 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 08-04 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0117160227 | $1.19 |
| 08-03 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 08-02 11:39 | LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 08-02 02:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.898 | $8.98 |
| 08-01 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 08-01 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 08-01 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.91 | $13.65 |
| 07-31 23:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.40 |
| 07-31 11:57 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 07-31 08:49 | LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 23:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 23:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.60 |