0xF67cffacCe263FD3EDfb368FC13dc9b8aB880D14-1769783692892
0xf67cffacce263fd3edfb368fc13dc9b8ab880d14
- Realised P&L
- $-6.5k
- Volume
- $142.2k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes | 0.716 | 1.000 | $5.9k | +$1.7k |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.328 | 0.395 | $2.4k | +$407.88 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No | 0.904 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.660Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$903.34at 0.841Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
- +$588.94at 0.840US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$432.77at 0.930Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
- +$287.45at 0.848Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 05:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.7195632222 | $3.4k |
| 07-21 05:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $823.94 |
| 07-10 12:22 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3280893081 | $2.0k |
| 06-16 02:33 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8055946844 | $1.1k |
| 06-16 02:32 | Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.9650114221 | $1.1k |
| 06-09 01:38 | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BUY | 0.9673609432 | $1.9k |
| 05-09 19:44 | Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.8558983779 | $1.5k |
| 05-09 19:43 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.985 | $424.11 |
| 05-06 04:59 | Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.6799999995 | $57.00 |
| 05-04 14:47 | Lakers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.8899999986 | $50.00 |
| 05-04 10:56 | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BUY | 0.9159974626 | $2.9k |
| 05-03 18:36 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.89 | $1000.00 |
| 05-03 06:01 | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BUY | 0.906584641 | $1000.00 |
| 05-03 06:00 | Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.8792948056 | $1.0k |
| 04-26 07:12 | Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.7704594246 | $89.72 |