ultana4
0xf6681469a58ea555adc282a51d6d9db9990fe47a
- Realised P&L
- $22.78
- Volume
- $51.6k
- Markets traded
- 317
- Open portfolio
- $0.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded317
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$356.22at 0.271Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
- +$98.01at 0.499Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 1?
- +$93.65at 0.676Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$52.06at 0.273Will Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$49.48at 0.212Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on March 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.075110271 | $7.15 |
| 08-04 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.59 | $20.64 |
| 08-04 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.33 |
| 08-04 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2281395349 | $9.81 |
| 08-04 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2180850249 | $11.39 |
| 08-04 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.8 | $51.53 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.56 | $17.36 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.27765 | $27.77 |
| 08-04 04:42 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4 | $25.37 |
| 08-04 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $8.81 |
| 08-04 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.71 | $22.72 |
| 08-04 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.21 | $5.61 |
| 08-04 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 08-04 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.69 | $22.36 |
| 08-04 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.16 |