Palpitate-0430
0xf656784d84c79195c21061c46859af98931124dc
- Realised P&L
- $-111.89
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,520
- Open portfolio
- $201.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,520
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.55at 0.841Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
- +$2.20at 0.900Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?
- +$2.20at 0.900Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?
- +$1.78at 0.881Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$1.68at 0.920Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:00 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will Rashida Tlaib be the MI-12 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will Justin Kirk be the Republican Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.969 | $19.38 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.922 | $19.36 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.959 | $19.18 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.95 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | BUY | 0.969 | $19.38 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.949 | $19.93 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.943 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.984 | $19.68 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.983 | $19.66 |
| 08-03 22:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 08-03 20:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |