0xf53a1cbbd916f4ea9b18ee6eda8d2e0edc457970
- Realised P&L
- $4.86
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 238
- Open portfolio
- $58.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded238
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.59at 0.144Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
- +$36.52at 0.200Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$33.36at 0.018Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$32.96at 0.180Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of July 13 2026?
- +$29.48at 0.299Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 03:00 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.967 | $9.67 |
| 08-04 02:59 | Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 02:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9739999995 | $14.43 |
| 08-04 02:59 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.01 |
| 08-04 02:59 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $9.90 |
| 08-04 02:59 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999989 | $15.18 |
| 08-04 02:59 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $15.96 |
| 08-04 02:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.1728445291 | $4.99 |
| 08-04 02:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.48 |
| 08-04 02:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.52 |
| 08-04 02:49 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.114 | $3.02 |
| 08-04 02:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.61 | $8.85 |
| 08-04 02:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $10.35 |
| 08-03 01:10 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0873668426 | $4.32 |
| 08-03 01:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0533334784 | $3.30 |