PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

woman88

0xf51b1a6ea9d7b555e77f06abaae58aae8a5cbf74

Realised P&L
$-23.44
Volume
$285.8k
Markets traded
398
Open portfolio
$94.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded398
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Over0.2300.150$93.00$49.60
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.4000.870$0.87+$0.47
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · No0.3400.475$0.47+$0.13
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1700.050$0.25$0.60
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1400.105$0.21$0.07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · No0.5200.000$0.00$0.52
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 04:58Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?SELL0.38$7.22
04-11 07:37Will the number of US flights delayed on April 6 be between 6,000 and 6,500?SELL0.036$6.01
04-11 07:07Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.82$531.36
04-11 07:07Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.82$137.76
04-11 00:52Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.82$669.12
04-10 00:32Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?SELL0.4$95.60
04-09 23:23Will the number of US flights delayed on April 6 be between 6,000 and 6,500?SELL0.033$8.68
04-09 22:48Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?SELL0.83$439.90
04-09 22:47Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?SELL0.83$498.00
04-09 13:58Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?SELL0.39$39.78
04-07 11:23Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?BUY0.84$949.20
04-07 08:36Will the number of US flights delayed on April 6 be between 6,000 and 6,500?BUY0.49$591.43
03-31 03:34Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?SELL0.35$268.45
03-30 15:44Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?SELL0.76$227.24
03-30 09:43Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.34$122.74