woman88
0xf51b1a6ea9d7b555e77f06abaae58aae8a5cbf74
- Realised P&L
- $-23.44
- Volume
- $285.8k
- Markets traded
- 398
- Open portfolio
- $94.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded398
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.230 | 0.150 | $93.00 | −$49.60 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.400 | 0.870 | $0.87 | +$0.47 |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.340 | 0.475 | $0.47 | +$0.13 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.050 | $0.25 | −$0.60 |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.105 | $0.21 | −$0.07 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.52 |
| Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$903.64at 0.420Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
- +$839.93at 0.220Will "I Swear" win Best Casting at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- +$619.36at 0.210Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$490.29at 0.130Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?
- +$331.50at 0.500XRP Up or Down - February 19, 7AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 04:58 | Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.22 |
| 04-11 07:37 | Will the number of US flights delayed on April 6 be between 6,000 and 6,500? | SELL | 0.036 | $6.01 |
| 04-11 07:07 | Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $531.36 |
| 04-11 07:07 | Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $137.76 |
| 04-11 00:52 | Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $669.12 |
| 04-10 00:32 | Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.4 | $95.60 |
| 04-09 23:23 | Will the number of US flights delayed on April 6 be between 6,000 and 6,500? | SELL | 0.033 | $8.68 |
| 04-09 22:48 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? | SELL | 0.83 | $439.90 |
| 04-09 22:47 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? | SELL | 0.83 | $498.00 |
| 04-09 13:58 | Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.39 | $39.78 |
| 04-07 11:23 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $949.20 |
| 04-07 08:36 | Will the number of US flights delayed on April 6 be between 6,000 and 6,500? | BUY | 0.49 | $591.43 |
| 03-31 03:34 | Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $268.45 |
| 03-30 15:44 | Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.76 | $227.24 |
| 03-30 09:43 | Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $122.74 |