f7af
0xf4be017d2486b0bd165421422ebf4c885c3cd9c8
- Realised P&L
- $-214.06
- Volume
- $119.7k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $146.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $141.69 | −$222.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on June 26? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.20 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 26? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $1.19 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 26? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.19 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 26? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.18 | +$0.00 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance · Team WE | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.95at 0.690LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$55.47at 0.530Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
- +$26.66at 0.680Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$26.27at 0.580Hornets vs. Mavericks
- +$18.69at 0.610LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on June 26? | BUY | 0.998999334 | $1.20 |
| 06-26 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 26? | BUY | 0.9989993058 | $1.18 |
| 06-26 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.19 |
| 06-26 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 26? | BUY | 0.9969999992 | $1.19 |
| 05-04 17:43 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.05 |
| 05-04 17:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.9989991141 | $1.06 |
| 05-04 17:42 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be 68°F or higher on May 5? | BUY | 0.9979992901 | $1.06 |
| 03-12 15:20 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 12? | BUY | 0.9969998482 | $1.09 |
| 02-25 16:49 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $364.34 |
| 02-25 05:18 | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.6899999993 | $251.40 |
| 02-25 05:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 25? | BUY | 0.9989992464 | $1.14 |
| 02-09 06:08 | LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals | BUY | 0.819999999 | $83.32 |
| 02-07 12:48 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.6799999995 | $56.66 |
| 02-07 11:13 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $50.05 |
| 02-07 11:06 | LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance | BUY | 0.4499999962 | $30.00 |