PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf41fe1f085e28d79af1876e30d620114f8cc543a

Realised P&L
$2.06
Volume
$710.78
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$62.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9340.966$19.31+$0.62
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No0.8500.915$11.89+$0.84
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8800.750$9.00$1.56
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9250.955$5.73+$0.18
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9490.923$5.54$0.15
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.4800.694$3.47+$1.07
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1300.250$3.00+$1.44
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · Yes0.1550.065$2.08$2.88
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1600.155$1.71$0.05
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.105$1.05$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 00:20Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.91$7.28
07-12 19:43Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.13$1.56
07-04 13:01Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.88$10.56
06-26 05:25China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$6.30
06-21 15:45Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.76
06-17 01:05Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.85$11.05
06-13 08:17Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$1.28
06-09 12:37Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.925$5.55
06-06 17:55Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.48$2.40
05-30 03:03Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.922$4.61
05-24 04:43Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.04$1.20
05-24 04:42Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$11.52
05-24 04:42China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$6.16
05-24 04:42China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$1.20
05-21 03:36U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.11$1.54