SilvioArzeno
0xf41e6cc4c3c522e52fc3192bfa0de52fb8b6d27d
- Realised P&L
- $-8.8k
- Volume
- $300.8k
- Markets traded
- 363
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded363
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.085 | $414.23 | +$221.23 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.380 | $321.45 | +$42.30 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.053 | $172.46 | +$22.47 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.092 | $155.90 | +$5.90 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.469 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$492.45 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.597Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?
- +$1.6kat 0.390Blue Jays vs. Yankees
- +$1.2kat 0.569Yankees vs. Blue Jays
- +$1.2kat 0.530Cubs vs. Brewers
- +$879.39at 0.443Brewers vs. Blue Jays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 01:07 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.3299999996 | $279.15 |
| 07-22 01:07 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0396036536 | $193.00 |
| 07-22 01:07 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0889999995 | $150.00 |
| 07-22 01:06 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0465312504 | $150.00 |
| 06-02 13:57 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.4699999995 | $80.00 |
| 06-01 15:52 | Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.6 | $300.00 |
| 05-31 05:01 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.4699999996 | $500.00 |
| 05-31 05:00 | New York Yankees vs. Athletics | SELL | 0.58 | $494.34 |
| 05-30 04:05 | New York Yankees vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.5866368812 | $500.00 |
| 05-30 04:03 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5399999995 | $500.00 |
| 05-30 04:03 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5399999995 | $500.00 |
| 05-29 15:35 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.6 | $386.34 |
| 05-29 15:35 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.49 | $600.00 |
| 04-27 16:23 | Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.4695309474 | $484.48 |
| 04-15 13:52 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.5299999992 | $221.32 |