someweirdguesser
0xf40e10e4f90bb64134e136c05f641d58888a9add
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $108.0k
- Markets traded
- 883
- Open portfolio
- $200.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded883
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$387.02at 0.464Panthers vs. Kraken
- +$286.18at 0.550Flames vs. Red Wings
- +$244.98at 0.449Kings vs. Islanders
- +$195.29at 0.170Blackhawks vs. Utah
- +$150.03at 0.400Canadiens vs. Senators
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 01:30 | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik | BUY | 0.7134349696 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 01:28 | National Bank Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrin | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 01:27 | National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | BUY | 0.6974459681 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 01:26 | National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 00:29 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 00:09 | National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 13:08 | Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 13:17 | Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 02:51 | Canadian Open: Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 10:28 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tomas Barrios | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 09:34 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tomas Barrios | SELL | 0.64 | $0.23 |
| 08-01 09:32 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tomas Barrios | SELL | 0.64 | $50.56 |
| 08-01 08:59 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tomas Barrios | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 08:47 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BUY | 0.6899999968 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 08:46 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Henrique Rocha | BUY | 0.6993006993 | $50.00 |