0xf408d6f6c33e8c80118d53162fac495508a688d3
- Realised P&L
- $-30.35
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $8.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.540 | 0.465 | $4.31 | −$0.69 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.450 | $4.02 | −$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.09at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?
- +$5.28at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on May 6?
- +$5.12at 0.894Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on May 5?
- +$0.72at 0.513Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 7?
- +$0.00at 0.994Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 11? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 05-10 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 10? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 09:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 12? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 09:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 12? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on May 12? | BUY | 0.0779999331 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 12? | BUY | 0.0505880865 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 10? | BUY | 0.0181644183 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 9? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 10? | BUY | 0.036949208 | $2.00 |
| 05-09 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 10? | BUY | 0.0571428571 | $2.00 |
| 05-09 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 9? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 05-08 20:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 9? | BUY | 0.0609999718 | $2.00 |
| 05-08 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 9? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |