PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PollyKelli

0xf3f60fd71909c6f4977d7aaac807b79059e0bc90

Realised P&L
$-50.80
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
132
Open portfolio
$32.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded132
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? · Yes0.8300.840$12.60+$0.15
Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026? · No0.4630.185$5.02$7.53
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.8400.950$3.39+$0.39
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8650.975$3.38+$0.38
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat? · Yes0.1000.155$2.33+$0.82
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.7400.745$2.01+$0.01
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? · Yes0.7700.825$1.27+$0.08
USD1 depeg by December 31? · Yes0.3000.110$1.11$1.93
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.7700.780$1.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 19:09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$6.45
07-29 17:24Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?BUY0.83$12.45
07-27 07:46No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?BUY0.8649999841$3.00
07-26 07:18Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.84$3.00
07-26 07:13Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.9$3.25
07-26 01:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7869999351$2.00
07-24 08:09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.75$1.00
07-23 07:15Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?SELL0.997$1.25
07-22 18:10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.775999702$2.00
07-21 00:53Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?BUY0.7699999741$1.19
07-18 18:21Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?SELL0.97$2.65
07-11 18:19Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.93$3.39
07-05 06:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?BUY0.63$1.00
07-05 06:02Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
07-05 05:43Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?BUY0.7299999087$2.00