Vasya2003
0xf3a51dccb7a309ba72b1a453e2107e7a234bd8c5
- Realised P&L
- $-591.42
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $38.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.380 | $38.00 | −$28.00 |
| Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.76 |
| Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.30 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale? · No | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$165.84 |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.80 |
| Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale? · No | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$145.93 |
| Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.75at 0.731Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$24.00at 0.740Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$11.66at 0.285Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?
- +$5.20at 0.392Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$3.78at 0.810Will Paradex launch a token on March 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-07 14:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 03-04 19:42 | Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.12 | $5.76 |
| 03-04 17:43 | Will Paradex launch a token on March 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 03-04 17:43 | Will Paradex launch a token on March 5? | SELL | 0.017 | $3.11 |
| 03-04 17:38 | Will Paradex launch a token on March 5? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.84 |
| 03-02 20:20 | Will Paradex launch a token on March 5? | BUY | 0.55 | $18.15 |
| 02-25 17:58 | Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.88 |
| 02-11 12:05 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.406 | $40.56 |
| 02-11 11:12 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.392 | $78.40 |
| 01-10 18:54 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0448855847 | $9.99 |
| 01-10 14:04 | Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.7312563668 | $100.00 |
| 01-08 20:31 | Over $14M committed to the Space public sale? | SELL | 0.5056915196 | $26.65 |
| 01-07 19:38 | Over $14M committed to the Space public sale? | BUY | 0.2845507792 | $15.00 |
| 01-07 13:10 | Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 12-07 13:56 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.1179288987 | $40.44 |