Ita10
0xf34f7cfe8d1b7e7361ca608b46713befa0424d6e
- Realised P&L
- $219.05
- Volume
- $360.0k
- Markets traded
- 365
- Open portfolio
- $510.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded365
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.233Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$823.85at 0.304Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$707.97at 0.276US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$568.11at 0.250Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$481.29at 0.402US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 14:13 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.3899999994 | $140.00 |
| 07-29 19:24 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.0693437696 | $86.33 |
| 07-29 13:02 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.4034611052 | $200.00 |
| 07-22 16:44 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.3399999988 | $160.00 |
| 07-22 11:44 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.359465736 | $150.00 |
| 07-22 07:30 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.2799999937 | $30.00 |
| 07-22 07:29 | Iran full airspace closure by July 24? | SELL | 0.1 | $31.43 |
| 07-19 22:44 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 22:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 07-19 21:34 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6474999973 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 18:37 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4274999994 | $160.00 |
| 07-18 22:11 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2191852715 | $60.18 |
| 07-18 22:06 | Iran full airspace closure by July 24? | BUY | 0.3499999982 | $110.00 |
| 07-18 21:50 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5909999999 | $121.00 |
| 07-18 21:46 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6919999991 | $190.00 |