PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

stormy0012345

0xf301e0475240f644b72793d3ba3653fb1f484ce1

Realised P&L
$42.6k
Volume
$2.52M
Markets traded
2,138
Open portfolio
$177.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,138
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.335$100.50$34.50
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.6000.640$76.80+$4.80
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00$85.64
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2680.000$0.00$32.10
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner · G2 Esports0.2050.000$0.00$94.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET · Down0.4990.000$0.00$27.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 11:37Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2675$32.10
07-19 07:36Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.41$82.00
07-15 09:01Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.45$20.70
07-08 16:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.51$17.95
07-08 15:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.39$7.80
07-08 09:43LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerSELL0.999$19.98
07-08 08:57LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.3$30.00
07-08 08:56LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.11$22.00
07-08 08:43LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.52$78.00
07-08 08:31LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.59$23.60
07-07 07:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.76$22.80
07-06 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.38$7.60
07-06 20:31Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.27$2.70
07-06 17:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1PM ETBUY0.42$12.60
07-06 17:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1PM ETBUY0.42$12.60