0xF29dbf6A45c2DFD771C24e126d01Aaee6fcE0A60-1768190637077
0xf29dbf6a45c2dfd771c24e126d01aaee6fce0a60
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $1.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.370 | $1.37 | +$0.19 |
| Raptors vs. Suns · Raptors | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.20 |
| 76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.10 |
| Magic vs. Pistons · Magic | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Minnesota Twins | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.570Rockets vs. Magic
- +$159.80at 0.830Lakers vs. Pacers
- +$27.20at 0.320Trail Blazers vs. Wizards
- +$12.20at 0.390Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?
- +$8.60at 0.570Sabres vs. Sharks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 09:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.79 |
| 06-22 05:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | BUY | 0.976 | $19.52 |
| 06-15 13:58 | Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.894 | $22.80 |
| 06-15 13:57 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $21.77 |
| 05-28 10:22 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | BUY | 0.984 | $29.52 |
| 05-13 03:17 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $49.35 |
| 05-08 13:56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.975 | $39.00 |
| 05-01 14:13 | 76ers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 04-23 12:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | BUY | 0.96 | $47.85 |
| 03-25 07:50 | Lakers vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.83 | $780.20 |
| 03-19 13:01 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | SELL | 0.996 | $77.23 |
| 03-07 09:48 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | BUY | 0.997 | $157.78 |
| 02-19 03:37 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $81.84 |
| 02-09 09:29 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 02-09 09:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | SELL | 0.996 | $80.34 |