Euphemism
0xf2858496f399396e28916281a7007d1320aaab24
- Realised P&L
- $17.9k
- Volume
- $1.75M
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $14.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.3kat 0.020Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$17.2kat 0.080Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
- +$11.8kat 0.465Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$11.5kat 0.180Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$9.0kat 0.550Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 17:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8163350602 | $7.9k |
| 07-27 16:51 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.53 | $2.4k |
| 07-27 12:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $3.0k |
| 07-14 20:33 | Spain to win the second half? | BUY | 0.66 | $536.40 |
| 06-30 19:34 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.717 | $2.6k |
| 06-26 10:09 | Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.86 | $13.40 |
| 06-22 16:07 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.68 | $165.12 |
| 06-22 16:05 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? | SELL | 0.9629927973 | $156.43 |
| 06-22 16:02 | Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | BUY | 0.6993549358 | $975.75 |
| 06-21 16:46 | Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.07 | $348.92 |
| 06-20 10:36 | Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $1.2k |
| 06-20 10:34 | Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4 | $800.00 |
| 06-20 10:20 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.1k |
| 06-19 18:33 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | SELL | 0.82 | $819.98 |
| 06-18 21:35 | Spread: Canada (-1.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $4.5k |