0xf267755e3f365571fF7AA1f0D20bC11516404815-1767621818644
0xf267755e3f365571ff7aa1f0d20bc11516404815
- Realised P&L
- $-150.81
- Volume
- $988.69
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $66.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.077 | $43.06 | −$56.94 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? · Yes | 0.248 | 0.075 | $9.08 | −$20.92 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.060 | $6.11 | −$13.89 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.075 | $5.77 | −$24.23 |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.065 | $2.47 | −$7.53 |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.018 | $0.39 | −$2.61 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 5? · Yes | 0.419 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.67 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-05 15:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 5? | BUY | 0.4189999921 | $9.67 |
| 01-05 15:55 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 01-05 15:54 | Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | BUY | 0.1434643594 | $3.00 |
| 01-05 15:52 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.2636409627 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 15:51 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.2436267249 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 15:51 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 15:51 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | BUY | 0.1965447434 | $20.00 |
| 01-05 15:50 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 01-05 15:50 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $20.00 |
| 01-05 15:50 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 15:46 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999987 | $100.00 |