Fred1204w
0xf24e4833b9fa7ea939b92d950ef9f7fd55529903
- Realised P&L
- $-206.05
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $119.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.91at 0.130Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?
- +$37.88at 0.460Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?
- +$35.86at 0.470Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics
- +$34.02at 0.468Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 3?
- +$30.45at 0.330Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:54 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999806 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 19:54 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7779999919 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 19:53 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.6039999903 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 19:51 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1699999908 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 19:47 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $28.19 |
| 08-03 01:28 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.87 | $24.00 |
| 08-03 01:27 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.9156788679 | $24.27 |
| 08-01 02:56 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.5116184889 | $16.70 |
| 08-01 02:55 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 02:54 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | SELL | 0.961 | $37.50 |
| 08-01 02:15 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.74 | $19.61 |
| 08-01 02:15 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.7174377222 | $28.00 |
| 07-31 16:30 | Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.5399999925 | $26.02 |
| 07-31 16:28 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 16:19 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.96 | $12.97 |