PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Fred1204w

0xf24e4833b9fa7ea939b92d950ef9f7fd55529903

Realised P&L
$-206.05
Volume
$12.7k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$119.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · Yes0.5120.725$23.66+$6.96
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.3970.325$23.59$5.24
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? · No0.7780.767$19.73$0.27
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · No0.7930.746$18.80$1.20
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.1700.165$14.56$0.44
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.6040.579$9.58$0.42
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? · No0.3500.330$9.33$0.57
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Kandy Royals · Kandy Royals0.3700.000$0.00$9.78
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports - Map 2 Winner · BakS eSports0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group · HANJIN BRION0.7000.000$0.00$3.50
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs · Imperial0.7900.000$0.00$47.85
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00$10.00
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha · Global Esports0.7050.000$0.00$16.00
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds · Pittsburgh Pirates0.5300.000$0.00$11.00
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajal · Mark Lajal0.7800.000$0.00$55.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 19:54Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3499999806$9.90
08-03 19:54Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7779999919$20.00
08-03 19:53Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.6039999903$10.00
08-03 19:51Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.1699999908$15.00
08-03 19:47Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.86$28.19
08-03 01:28Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.87$24.00
08-03 01:27Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.9156788679$24.27
08-01 02:56Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.5116184889$16.70
08-01 02:55Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersBUY0.7099999918$20.00
08-01 02:54Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsSELL0.961$37.50
08-01 02:15Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.74$19.61
08-01 02:15Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.7174377222$28.00
07-31 16:30Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.5399999925$26.02
07-31 16:28Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?SELL0.03$1.00
07-31 16:19Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?SELL0.96$12.97