mattiasteder6435
0xf1eeefd0765dcb798ce192bec5c02ff840ae9a99
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $160.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $63.37 | +$0.33 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · No | 0.966 | 0.952 | $52.33 | −$0.80 |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · No | 0.995 | 0.987 | $45.25 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$730.00at 0.270Dodgers vs. Rockies
- +$708.00at 0.410Phillies vs. Yankees
- +$672.00at 0.440Twins vs. Tigers
- +$408.00at 0.490Brewers vs. Cubs
- +$2.31at 0.958GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 08:14 | Panthers vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.54 | $599.94 |
| 05-13 05:38 | Pacers vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.72 | $668.16 |