PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ReubenToro

0xf1cd7d852e8dd8419866af5f590ddc5af1174a46

Realised P&L
$-233.66
Volume
$44.6k
Markets traded
1,204
Open portfolio
$413.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,204
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 27, 2026? · No0.9700.995$40.80+$1.02
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.9700.979$40.12+$0.35
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? · No0.9400.955$40.09+$0.61
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.935$39.27+$0.63
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · Yes0.5000.880$35.20+$15.20
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC? · No0.9700.845$34.64$5.13
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.815$28.78+$19.60
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.8200.951$22.12+$3.04
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9700.985$19.69+$0.29
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? · Yes0.8360.911$19.30+$1.60
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.7300.935$16.77+$3.68
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? · No0.9700.786$15.72$3.68
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9540.906$11.46$0.60
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.8000.945$11.08+$1.70
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8000.895$6.26+$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:07Exact Score: CD Marquense 2 - 0 CSD Municipal?BUY0.97$39.77
08-02 21:18Exact Score: CD Marquense 0 - 3 CSD Municipal?BUY0.97$39.77
08-02 10:35Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 2 - 2 Qingdao Hainiu FC?BUY0.97$39.77
08-02 02:06Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 0 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes?BUY0.97$39.77
07-30 23:38Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)BUY0.97$39.77
07-30 11:08Will Sydney Olympic FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?BUY0.95$1.90
07-30 09:51Exact Score: Sydney Olympic FC 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar FC?BUY0.97$39.77
07-30 01:35Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)BUY0.97$39.77
07-29 23:15Exact Score: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 1 - 2 CA River Plate?BUY0.96$39.36
07-29 23:13Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 3.5BUY0.97$39.77
07-29 16:50Spread: KÍ (-1.5)BUY0.97$39.77
07-29 01:16CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: CA Rosario Central O/U 2.5BUY0.97$39.77
07-29 01:15Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)BUY0.97$39.77
07-29 00:57Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-07-28?BUY0.98$39.20
07-28 19:58Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-28?BUY0.97$39.77
Trader ReubenToro · PolyBot