offCharts
0xf1c6048e96b75f3303bb0dd6a0971539b572d85d
- Realised P&L
- $53.93
- Volume
- $580.31
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $72.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.525 | $52.50 | +$4.50 |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.410 | $20.37 | +$6.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.00at 0.890Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
- +$1.98at 0.901Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
- +$0.70at 0.930Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 01:08 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.48 | $12.38 |
| 01-20 04:33 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 01-13 03:31 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.901 | $18.02 |
| 01-13 03:30 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |