PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AlanRice2950

0xf1b84f9fe736a182b049a3bb4d2cb3865efa84e3

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$193.2k
Markets traded
219
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded219
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.885$713.31+$197.47
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2000.880$553.52+$427.72
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5010.302$98.31$64.51
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.930$29.76+$3.52
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes0.3200.265$11.93$2.47
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.3300.005$0.21$13.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 14:58Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.522$4.18
04-21 02:51Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?SELL0.4$344.40
04-11 17:15Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.23$179.17
04-11 16:48Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026SELL0.65$716.95
04-11 05:53Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026SELL0.66$6.60
04-11 02:47Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.82$26.24
04-10 22:56Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY0.24$186.96
04-10 20:08Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026BUY0.67$745.71
04-09 14:48Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?SELL0.74$125.80
04-09 13:47Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?SELL0.29$94.83
04-09 13:46Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?SELL0.28$13.72
04-09 13:44Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?SELL0.28$14.28
04-08 20:29Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$125.80
04-08 20:19Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.3$128.10
04-08 19:51Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$515.84