MarcDySky1
0xf19cc748648db6ba13586e519c0c77cbe0da3849
- Realised P&L
- $-0.57
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $14.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.25at 0.355Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 1?
- +$12.00at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?
- +$9.72at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 2?
- +$7.30at 0.221Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 27?
- +$6.86at 0.130Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.73 |
| 08-04 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.47 |
| 08-04 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.73 |
| 08-04 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.39 |
| 08-04 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 08-04 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.07 |
| 08-04 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.03 |
| 08-04 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.37 |
| 08-04 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.47 |
| 08-04 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.40 |
| 08-04 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3233949802 | $2.45 |
| 08-03 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-02 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.63 |
| 08-02 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.3612598075 | $4.88 |